I'm either 7-3 or 7-5 on the week, depending on if I picked the OR/ORST game. I'll be clearer in the future.
Top 20 teams:
UL Monroe +44.5 @ #1 Texas. Total is 53, so expected final is 48-5
Marshall +40 @ #3 OSU. Total is 51, so expected final is 45-6.
GA SO +36 @ #5 Ole Miss. Total is 66, so expected final is 51-15.
#6 Tennessee -7 @ #15 Oklahoma. Total is 57.5, so expected final is 32-25. This line opened with OU favored by 3, so 10 points in TN's favor.
Vandy +21 @ #7 Mizzou. Total is 53, so expected final is 37-16.
#8 Miami -16.5 @ USF. Total is 65, so expected final is 41-24.
Kent St. + 48.5 @ #10 PSU. Total is 55, so expected final is 51-3.
#11 USC -5.5 @ #18 Michigan. Total is 46, so expected final is 26-20. This opened with UM favored by 11, so this has moved 16 points in USC's favor.
#12 Utah -1 @ #14 OKST. Total is 52, so expected final is 26-25. This line's been bouncing around like crazy.
#13 KSU -7 @ BYU. total is 47.5, so expected final is 27-20.
UCLA +24 @ #16 LSU. Total is 55.5, so expected final is 40-16.
Miami (OH) +27.5 @ #17 Notre Dame. Total is 44, so expected final is 36-8.
GA Tech +10 @ #19 Louisville. Total is 57.5, so expected final is 34-24.
AR ST +21 @ #20 IA ST. Total is 51.5, so expected final is 36-15.
Other Big 12 games:
Houston +4.5 @ Cincy. Total of 48, so expected final is 26-22.
KU +2.5 @ WVU. Total of 57.5, so expected final is 30-28
ASU +3.5 @ Texas Tech. Total of 60, so expected final is 32-28
TCU -2.5 @ SMU. Total of 57.5, so expected final is 30-28
Baylor +2 @ CU. Total of 53, so expected final is 27-25.
That is an insane number of close games in the Big 12 while the Top 25 is on easy mode for most of the teams. Here are my six picks:
I'd take the over on CU/Baylor
I'd take KSU to cover and the over, but I hate BYU so this is probably an emotion bet. A TD on the road is a pretty big spread.
I'd take the over in the UM/USC game. Michigan's offense sucks, but I think they'll find some points against USC, and USC's offense can score at any time.
I like the under in the Miami/USF game. Miami's offense is good, but 65 is pretty high against a decent USF team, and Miami's defense is ALSO pretty good, so I think they'll contain USF.
I like the over in the ASU/Tech game. ASU averages 39 ppg and Tech averages 45 ppg. 60 is high, but I still think that game goes over.
Those are the six picks this week.
Top 20 teams:
UL Monroe +44.5 @ #1 Texas. Total is 53, so expected final is 48-5
Marshall +40 @ #3 OSU. Total is 51, so expected final is 45-6.
GA SO +36 @ #5 Ole Miss. Total is 66, so expected final is 51-15.
#6 Tennessee -7 @ #15 Oklahoma. Total is 57.5, so expected final is 32-25. This line opened with OU favored by 3, so 10 points in TN's favor.
Vandy +21 @ #7 Mizzou. Total is 53, so expected final is 37-16.
#8 Miami -16.5 @ USF. Total is 65, so expected final is 41-24.
Kent St. + 48.5 @ #10 PSU. Total is 55, so expected final is 51-3.
#11 USC -5.5 @ #18 Michigan. Total is 46, so expected final is 26-20. This opened with UM favored by 11, so this has moved 16 points in USC's favor.
#12 Utah -1 @ #14 OKST. Total is 52, so expected final is 26-25. This line's been bouncing around like crazy.
#13 KSU -7 @ BYU. total is 47.5, so expected final is 27-20.
UCLA +24 @ #16 LSU. Total is 55.5, so expected final is 40-16.
Miami (OH) +27.5 @ #17 Notre Dame. Total is 44, so expected final is 36-8.
GA Tech +10 @ #19 Louisville. Total is 57.5, so expected final is 34-24.
AR ST +21 @ #20 IA ST. Total is 51.5, so expected final is 36-15.
Other Big 12 games:
Houston +4.5 @ Cincy. Total of 48, so expected final is 26-22.
KU +2.5 @ WVU. Total of 57.5, so expected final is 30-28
ASU +3.5 @ Texas Tech. Total of 60, so expected final is 32-28
TCU -2.5 @ SMU. Total of 57.5, so expected final is 30-28
Baylor +2 @ CU. Total of 53, so expected final is 27-25.
That is an insane number of close games in the Big 12 while the Top 25 is on easy mode for most of the teams. Here are my six picks:
I'd take the over on CU/Baylor
I'd take KSU to cover and the over, but I hate BYU so this is probably an emotion bet. A TD on the road is a pretty big spread.
I'd take the over in the UM/USC game. Michigan's offense sucks, but I think they'll find some points against USC, and USC's offense can score at any time.
I like the under in the Miami/USF game. Miami's offense is good, but 65 is pretty high against a decent USF team, and Miami's defense is ALSO pretty good, so I think they'll contain USF.
I like the over in the ASU/Tech game. ASU averages 39 ppg and Tech averages 45 ppg. 60 is high, but I still think that game goes over.
Those are the six picks this week.
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