Alright, here's an early line check. Pac-12 first:
Cal +13.5 @ #16 Utah. Utah opens a 2-TD favorite over Cal, with the total at 45, so the expected score is roughly 29-15. Cal has improved, with blowout wins over N. Texas and Idaho and a close win against ASU, but the rest of their schedule is ranked opponents until Stanford, so they'll need a couple of upsets to get to a bowl.
Stanford +12 @ CU. Total is 59, so expected score is 36-24. Stanford is 1-4 with only one unranked remaining opponent (Cal), so they're not going bowling without upsetting CU (plus a bunch of other teams). It's only Taylor's first year, but it's not going well.
#8 Oregon +2.5 @ #7 UW. This is telling you that Vegas thinks these teams are roughly equal, so UW gets 3 points at home. Total is 67, so Vegas is expecting points, with an anticipated final of 35-32. I'd be tempted by the under, despite two great QBs, because Oregon is #6 in total D and #5 in passing D. UW is slinging it, but I think Oregon will be able to slow them down.
Arizona +8 @ #19 WSU. Total is 60.5, so expected final is 34-26. Arizona is finally looking like a dangerous team, they absolutely can play with WSU. They are 3-3 right now with WSU, OSU, UCLA, CU, Utah, and ASU left, so they have a shot at a bowl but need an upset.
#10 USC +2.5 @ #21 Notre Dame. Total of 60.5, so expected final is 31-29. ND is not as good as expected, but they can play a little defense. USC is also not as good as they're ranking, but I'd take them as a road dog here, I don't think ND will be able to slow them down enough.
#18 UCLA +4 @ #15 ORST. Total is 53.5, so expected final is 29-25. I'd take the under, but that's pretty low.
ASU. Bye
Rest of the top 15:
#1 UGA -31.5 @ Vandy. Total of 56.5, so expected score of 44-12.
Indiana +33.5 @ #2 Michigan. Total of 47.5, so expected score of 41-7.
#3 OSU -19.5 @ Purdue. Total of 50, so expected score of 35-15.
Syracuse +17.5 @ #4 FSU. Total of 56, so expected score of 37-19.
UMass +43 @ #6 PSU. Total of 56.5, so expected score of 50-7.
Arkansas +19.5 @ #11 Bama. Total of 46.5, so expected score of 33-13.
Miami +3.5 @ #12 UNC. Total of 57.5, so expected score of 30-27.
#14 Louisville -7.5 @ Pitt. Total of 46, so expected score of 27-20.
Not a lot of room to move, outside of ND/USC (if USC loses), UW/Oregon (who probably won't fall too far), and maybe Miami or Pitt can upset UNC or Louisville. Still, lots of garbage this week in the top 15.
Future Big 12:
ISU +5 @ Cincy. Total of 45.5, so expected final of 25-22.
Kansas -3.5 @ OKST. Total of 57, so expected final of 30-27. Kansas is okay, but I'm surprised they're favored at OKST. OKST is struggling, but they're probably better than this.
KSU +1 @ TTech. Total of 56, so expected final of 29-28. TTech has looked pretty bad, so I'm actually surprised they're favored over KSU.
BYU +5 @ TCU. Total of 53, so expected final of 29-24.
WVU -2.5 @ Houston. Total of 51.5, so expected final of 27-25.
Vegas is expecting a bunch of great games in the Big 12 this week, with nobody favored by more than a TD.
Cal +13.5 @ #16 Utah. Utah opens a 2-TD favorite over Cal, with the total at 45, so the expected score is roughly 29-15. Cal has improved, with blowout wins over N. Texas and Idaho and a close win against ASU, but the rest of their schedule is ranked opponents until Stanford, so they'll need a couple of upsets to get to a bowl.
Stanford +12 @ CU. Total is 59, so expected score is 36-24. Stanford is 1-4 with only one unranked remaining opponent (Cal), so they're not going bowling without upsetting CU (plus a bunch of other teams). It's only Taylor's first year, but it's not going well.
#8 Oregon +2.5 @ #7 UW. This is telling you that Vegas thinks these teams are roughly equal, so UW gets 3 points at home. Total is 67, so Vegas is expecting points, with an anticipated final of 35-32. I'd be tempted by the under, despite two great QBs, because Oregon is #6 in total D and #5 in passing D. UW is slinging it, but I think Oregon will be able to slow them down.
Arizona +8 @ #19 WSU. Total is 60.5, so expected final is 34-26. Arizona is finally looking like a dangerous team, they absolutely can play with WSU. They are 3-3 right now with WSU, OSU, UCLA, CU, Utah, and ASU left, so they have a shot at a bowl but need an upset.
#10 USC +2.5 @ #21 Notre Dame. Total of 60.5, so expected final is 31-29. ND is not as good as expected, but they can play a little defense. USC is also not as good as they're ranking, but I'd take them as a road dog here, I don't think ND will be able to slow them down enough.
#18 UCLA +4 @ #15 ORST. Total is 53.5, so expected final is 29-25. I'd take the under, but that's pretty low.
ASU. Bye
Rest of the top 15:
#1 UGA -31.5 @ Vandy. Total of 56.5, so expected score of 44-12.
Indiana +33.5 @ #2 Michigan. Total of 47.5, so expected score of 41-7.
#3 OSU -19.5 @ Purdue. Total of 50, so expected score of 35-15.
Syracuse +17.5 @ #4 FSU. Total of 56, so expected score of 37-19.
UMass +43 @ #6 PSU. Total of 56.5, so expected score of 50-7.
Arkansas +19.5 @ #11 Bama. Total of 46.5, so expected score of 33-13.
Miami +3.5 @ #12 UNC. Total of 57.5, so expected score of 30-27.
#14 Louisville -7.5 @ Pitt. Total of 46, so expected score of 27-20.
Not a lot of room to move, outside of ND/USC (if USC loses), UW/Oregon (who probably won't fall too far), and maybe Miami or Pitt can upset UNC or Louisville. Still, lots of garbage this week in the top 15.
Future Big 12:
ISU +5 @ Cincy. Total of 45.5, so expected final of 25-22.
Kansas -3.5 @ OKST. Total of 57, so expected final of 30-27. Kansas is okay, but I'm surprised they're favored at OKST. OKST is struggling, but they're probably better than this.
KSU +1 @ TTech. Total of 56, so expected final of 29-28. TTech has looked pretty bad, so I'm actually surprised they're favored over KSU.
BYU +5 @ TCU. Total of 53, so expected final of 29-24.
WVU -2.5 @ Houston. Total of 51.5, so expected final of 27-25.
Vegas is expecting a bunch of great games in the Big 12 this week, with nobody favored by more than a TD.
