Hey folks,
I don't think I'm going to manage to crank a video out before the game, but I have run the numbers so I wanted to share them with you. UCLA has lost a ton of ground, with USC, Oregon, and Utah picking up the pieces.
For some reason USC is just not coming out ahead very often despite a very soft end of year schedule. My instinct is that this is a pretty big miss for the model. I have a rule not to meddle with my software mid season, but it's definitely something I'm going to look at once I'm done with it this year.
I don't think I'm going to manage to crank a video out before the game, but I have run the numbers so I wanted to share them with you. UCLA has lost a ton of ground, with USC, Oregon, and Utah picking up the pieces.
For some reason USC is just not coming out ahead very often despite a very soft end of year schedule. My instinct is that this is a pretty big miss for the model. I have a rule not to meddle with my software mid season, but it's definitely something I'm going to look at once I'm done with it this year.
| Week | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| UAZ | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ASU | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| CAL | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| COL | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ORE | 40.0% | 42.0% | 42.0% | 51.0% | 60.5% | 61.0% | 73.0% |
| OSU | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% |
| STA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| UCL | 16.0% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 33.0% | 58.0% | 62.0% | 39.0% |
| USC | 37.0% | 41.0% | 31.0% | 26.0% | 35.9% | 16.0% | 21.7% |
| UTA | 65.0% | 60.0% | 65.0% | 72.0% | 41.5% | 54.5% | 56.0% |
| WAS | 24.0% | 31.0% | 35.0% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% |
| WSU | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
