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Pacific Takes (SB Nation) predicts the conference standings and bowls.

displacedute

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Dec 12, 2005
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Standings

Bowls

To save you a click, they have Utah 10-2 (7-2) and beating USC to win the tiebreaker and get to the title game (where we lose to UW). Unfortunately, they also have us falling to the San Francisco bowl. I will say, I think they're wrong about that. Let's assume our two losses are Stanford and UW (or maybe Oregon instead of Stanford). Here's how that season plays out, rankings wise:

Week 1 (beat Weber St.)- Maybe ranked #25. Depends on how the games go for UCF (@UCONN), Boise (@Troy), Texas (v. Maryland), Oregon (v. BGSU), LSU (v. #8 Miami), S. Carolina (v. Costal Carolina), and Florida (v. Charleston So.).
Week 2 (beat NIU). Probably ranked in the lowish 20s. Say #23 (helped by Georgia destroying S. Carolina)
Week 3 (lose to UW). Unranked but still getting votes.
Week 4 (beat WSU). Maybe ranked again, #25
Week 5 (lose to Stanford). Unranked again, maybe getting a few votes near the bottom.
Week 6 (beat Arizona). Arizona is probably 5-1 going into this game, 6-0 if they beat of USC at home, so they will likely be ranked. Beating them puts us back at about #25
Week 7 (beat USC). USC has three tough games before they get to Salt Lake. @Stanford in week 2, @Texas in week 3, and @Arizona in week 5. I think they win 2 of those, so they'll almost certainly be ranked in the top 15, if not top 10, when they come to Salt Lake. When we win we'll be catapulted to about #15
Week 8 (beat UCLA). Go up 2 spots. #13
Week 9 (beat ASU). Go up 2 spots. #11
Week 10 (beat Oregon). Go up 4 spots. #7
Week 11 (beat CU). Go up 1 spot. #6
Week 12 (beat BYU). Stay pat.

So we're #6 going into the PAC 12 title game, even a loss puts us at 10-3 and ranked in the top 12, as long as it's close, which means we're going to the Fiesta, Peach, or Cotton Bowl, not San Francisco. This could be upset if the G5 representative is below #12, but even then we're going to be headed to Alamo or Holiday, not San Francisco.
 
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