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Lines this week.

displacedute
Thought I'd post the lines early this week and then update later so we can see the movement. First, the Pac-12:

#22 UCLA +4.5 @ #11 Utah. The line opened at 6.5 and the money's been mostly on UCLA so far, probably because the injury status for much of Utah's team is still up in the air. the total is 52.5, so expected score is roughly 28-24.
Arizona -10.5 @ Stanford. This actually opened at 9.5 and is already up to 10.5, and you can see as high as 12 some places. Stanford is bad, Arizona is solid. Total is 58.5 right now, so expected score is roughly 29-19.
#5 USC -33.5 @ ASU. This opened at 27.5 yesterday and is already up to 33.5, which is a ton of movement. Bettors expect USC to bury ASU. Total is 61.5, so expected score is roughly 48-14.
#19 CU +21.5 @ #10 Oregon. Vegas still doesn't have a ton of faith in CU, particularly after the CSU game. Bettors agree, as this one opened at 17 and all the money's been on Oregon. A week ago the early line was 14, so the CSU game has shifted expectations quite a bit. Total is 70.5, so expected score is roughly 46-24.
Cal +21.5 @ #8 UW. Yes, the Cal/UW line is the same as the CU/Oregon line. I'll let you take from that what you will. The total for Cal/UW is a little lower, at 62.5, so the expected score is roughly 42-20.
#14 ORST -2.5 @ #21 WSU. The Beavers are a slight road favorite this week, but they opened at 6.5, so the money's on the Cougars. Total is 56.5, so the expected score is roughly 30-27.

Now the rest of the top 15:

UAB +41.5 @ #1 UGA. Total is 53.5, so expected score is 48-6.
Rutgers @ #2 Michigan. No line on this one, I'm not sure why. Maybe Vegas forgot Rutgers was an FBS program?
#3 Texas -14.5 @ Baylor. Total is 51.5, so expected score is 33-19.
#4 FSU -2.5 @ Clemson. FSU's close game against BC is probably pushing this line down a little bit, although Clemson has looked good the past two weeks after losing their week 1 matchup to Duke, 28-7. Total is 55.5, so expected score is 29-27.
#6 OSU -3.5 @ #9 Notre Dame. This is Utah's (and Oregon's) biggest chance to move up, as ND losing puts both of us up a spot. If OSU loses big, that could also move UW up a spot. Total is 54.5, so expected score is 29-26
#21 Iowa +14.5 @ #7 PSU. Total is 41.5, so expect a Big 10 slugfest ending roughly 28-14.
Arkansas +17.5 @ #12 LSU. Total is 55.5, so expected score is 37-19.
#15 Ole Miss +7 @ #13 Alabama. Bama is struggling right now, so there's a distinct shot at an upset for Ole Miss here. Total is 54.5, so expected score is 31-24.

Future Big 12 conference mates:

UCF +6.5 @ KSU. This has bounced around a little bit, from as low as 5.5 and up to 7 at some points. Total is 55.5, so expected final score is roughly 31-25.
TTech -5.5 @ WVU. Tech is bad, so WVU must be really bad. Total is 54.5, so expected final is 30-24
#16 Oklahoma -14 @ Cincy. Total is 59.5, so expected total is 37-23
Sam Houston +12.5 @ Houston. This game should be played every year. Total is 38.5, so a defensive showdown, with an expected final of 25-13.
SMU +6.5 @ TCU. Iron Skillet at issue, total is 63.5, so expected final is 35-29.
OK ST +3.5 @ ISU. Total is only 36.5, the lowest total of the day, so the final expected score is 20-17.
BYU +9.5 @ Kansas. Yes, that's right, BYU is a 10 point dog to KANSAS. Total is 55.5, so expected final is 33-23.


If you're curious, the 1-2 USU Aggies are 5.5 home dogs to James Madison. The Aggies might not be very good, but getting almost a TD at home for a team travelling from Virginia is a bet worth checking out.
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INSTANT REACTION: Utah takes care of business against Weber State

C
A win, getting guys healthy, no turnovers, and a 3-0 record with everything to play for heading into conference play. Was it perfect? No. But what more can you really ask for from this team given the amount of players sidelined this week.

Victorious in his first start and a solid showing across the board from Nate Johnson. Not necessarily a great game, but not too much to complain about. He completed more than 60% of his passes, held onto the football, looked confident, and the offense ran just fine.

The defense continued to do their thing as the starters only allowed 7 points, Lander Barton secured a pick-six (20th season in a row for the program) and the depth was able to see some snaps in the fourth quarter.

Sure, there were a few areas that weren’t great like special teams and the amount of holds from the offensive line, but the Utes took care of business.

Now some rest and preparations for UCLA next week.

What stands out to you guys after today?
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Lines this week

displacedute
As always, here are the lines this week. First, the rest of the Pac-12:


UTEP +18.5 @ Arizona. Opened 16.5 and all the money's been on Arizona so far. Total is 57.5, so score would be roughly 38-19
Fresno -3 @ ASU. Yes, Fresno is favored by three AT ASU. Fresno, is 2-0 with a win over Purdue, ASU is 1-1 with a very close win over SUU and then a collapse to OKST 27-15, despite leading 15-10 at the half. This actually opened ASU favored by 2.5, so a ton of money's been on Fresno this week. Total is 49.5, so the score would be roughly 26-23 Fresno.
CSU +23.5 @ #18 CU. Everyone believes in CU now. Opened 19.5 and all the money's been on CU. Total is 62.5, so score would be roughly 43-20 CU.
#8 UW -16.5 @ MI ST. Yes, Washington is favored by more than 2 TD on the road against Michigan State. Opened this week at 12.5, so all the money's on Washington. Total has been moving down and is now at 55.5, so the score would be roughly 36-20
Hawaii +38.5 @ #13 Oregon. That line basically means Vegas thinks Oregon can pick the score. This opened about 38, so it hasn't moved much. Total is 69.5, which is insanely high and means Vegas thinks it will be roughly 54-16
SDSU +24.5 @ #16 OSU. This opened at 20.5 and all the money's been on the Beavers. Total at 48.5, so score should be roughly 36-12.
Weber St. @ #12 Utah. No line for FCS games.
N. Colorado @ #23 WSU. No line for FCS games.
NC Central @ #24 UCLA. No line for FCS games.
Idaho @ Cal. No line for FCS games.
Sac St. @ Stanford. No line for FCS games.
#5 USC. Bye this week.

For the Pac-12, that appears to be mostly garbage. Every Pac-12 team is favored by at least 2 TD (or by so much Vegas won't put a line on it) except for ASU, who looks to be fairly bad this year. Now the rest of the AP top 15:

S. Car. +27 @ #1 UGA. This line has bounced around a little bit, but it opened roughly the same spot. Total is 54.5, so anticipated score is roughly 41-14
BGSU +40.5 @ #2 Michigan. This line hasn't moved at all, but the total has moved up a bunch. It's now at 53.5, so Vegas thinks the final will be roughly 47-6.
#3 FSU -24.5 @ BC. This actually opened at 28, so bettors are expecting a letdown after FSU's big win. Total is also moving down, it's at 46.5 right now, so the final score would be roughly 36-10.
Wyoming +29.5 @ #4 Texas. This opened at 26.5, so money's been on Texas. Total is 49.5, so final score would be roughly 40-10
WKU +29.5 @ #6 OSU. This opened at 27.5, so money's been mostly on OSU. Total is 65.5, so final score would be roughly 48-19
#7 PSU -14.5 @ Illinois. This line has been mostly steady, as has the total, which is at 48.5 right now, putting the final score at roughly 31-17
CMU +34.5 @ #9 ND. This opened at 30.5, so the money's on Notre Dame. Total is 51.5, so the final score would be roughly 44-9
#10 Bama -33.5 @ USF. How is this game happening? Bama is going TO USF? Regardless of that scheduling miracle, the line opened at 29.5, so bettors are expecting Bama to be angry. Total is 61.5 right now, so expected score is 48-14
#11 Tennessee -6.5 @ UF. Opened at 8.5, so most of the money has been on Florida. Total is 56.5, so expected score is roughly 32-25
#14 LSU -9.5 @ Miss. St. This opened at 7.5 but was up to 9.5 by the end of the day, although it's bounced a little bit. Total is 53.5, so expected score is 32-22
#15 KSU -3.5 @ Mizzou. This opened at 1.5, jumped up to 5.5, and then settled down. Total is 48.5, so expected score is roughly 26-23.

Other games of note:

BYU +8 @ Arkansas. This opened at 10.5, so the money's been mostly on BYU. The total's also moved down about 11 points, sitting at 47.5 right now, so the expected score is roughly 28-20 right now. At open the expected score was roughly 35-24.
USU +9.5 @ AF. This line hasn't moved, but the total's come down a little bit to 45.5, so the expected final score is roughly 28-18.

Quick notes on future conference mates:

IA ST -2.5 @ Ohio. Can't believe this is that low. IA ST may be reverting to the mean, by which I mean terrible.
S. Alabama +7.5 @ OKST. Again, this is pretty low. OKST showed some holes against ASU last week.
Miami (OH) +14.5 @ Cincy. Seems about right.
Pitt +2.5 @ WVU. Backyard brawl this weekend. Vegas expects a good game.
TCU -7.5 @ Houston. TCU's fall from grace has been sudden, but should not have been that unexpected considering what they lost. Houston is bad (beat UTSA by 3, lost to Rice by 2), so only being a TD favorite says a lot about TCU.
Kansas -28 @ Nevada. Nevada must be very bad, considering they lost to Idaho 33-6. Kansas isn't good, but they aren't Nevada bad.
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Weber State tickets - 8 available

JWunderli1
Hey all - my family and I are going to be out of town this weekend so I need get 8 tickets into the hand of Utah fans. They are great seats (IMHO). SEZ Section 49 rows 3 & 4 seats 1-4. The tickets don't say how much they are but IIRC, they are about $65/ticket BUT it's Weber and I want people in the seats who want to go so I will sell them for $30/seat. The first person to buy 4 also gets my Marriott library parking pass included in the deal. Go Utes!!
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