For the curious, the teams still likely in the running for the final Pac-12 Championship Game are Washington (6-0), Oregon (5-1), USC (5-2), Arizona, ORST, and Utah (4-2). It might still be mathematically possible for UCLA (3-3) to make the game, but I don't want to figure out what that would take. The remaining games for the six actually contending teams are as follows:
#5 UW- #13 Utah, @ #12 ORST, WSU
#6 Oregon- USC, @ ASU, #12 ORST
USC- @ #6 Oregon, UCLA
#23 Arizona- @ Colorado, #13 Utah, @ ASU
#12 ORST- Stanford, #5 UW, #6 Oregon
#13 Utah- @ #5 UW, @ #23 Arizona, Colorado
For Utah, people beating Oregon is good for us, but we can't end up in a 2-way tie with either Oregon or ORST, so the best thing for us is that Oregon makes the game at 8-1 and that ORST loses a game and UW loses to Utah and someone else.
So best scenario this week: Utah wins (necessary), USC/Oregon doesn't matter, but probably best if Oregon wins, CU wins, Stanford wins.
There is also a good 3-way tie for Utah with Oregon, if USC beats Oregon and then beats UCLA, and both Oregon and Utah win out otherwise, the 3-way tie would be Utah/USC/Oregon (all at 7-2 and 1-1 against each other). The first tiebreaker is record against the other tied teams, which remains tied. Then it's record against all common opponents. Those opponents are CU, UW, Cal, ASU. In this scenario, Utah would be 4-0 and both Oregon and USC would be 3-1 (both losing to UW). That would put Utah in the title game for a rematch against UW
#5 UW- #13 Utah, @ #12 ORST, WSU
#6 Oregon- USC, @ ASU, #12 ORST
USC- @ #6 Oregon, UCLA
#23 Arizona- @ Colorado, #13 Utah, @ ASU
#12 ORST- Stanford, #5 UW, #6 Oregon
#13 Utah- @ #5 UW, @ #23 Arizona, Colorado
For Utah, people beating Oregon is good for us, but we can't end up in a 2-way tie with either Oregon or ORST, so the best thing for us is that Oregon makes the game at 8-1 and that ORST loses a game and UW loses to Utah and someone else.
So best scenario this week: Utah wins (necessary), USC/Oregon doesn't matter, but probably best if Oregon wins, CU wins, Stanford wins.
There is also a good 3-way tie for Utah with Oregon, if USC beats Oregon and then beats UCLA, and both Oregon and Utah win out otherwise, the 3-way tie would be Utah/USC/Oregon (all at 7-2 and 1-1 against each other). The first tiebreaker is record against the other tied teams, which remains tied. Then it's record against all common opponents. Those opponents are CU, UW, Cal, ASU. In this scenario, Utah would be 4-0 and both Oregon and USC would be 3-1 (both losing to UW). That would put Utah in the title game for a rematch against UW
