Alright, let's see what Vegas thinks about this week so far. First, the Pac-12:
#10 Utah +3 @ #19 OSU. Utah is a dog for the first time this year, but this basically is all OSU's home field. Total is 44.5, so 23-20 is the expected score.
#9 Oregon -27 @ Stanford. Stanford is bad. Total is 61, so expected score is 44-17
#7 UW -17.5 @ Arizona. Arizona is not as bad as Stanford, but still not good. Total is 69.5, so expected final is 44-26.
ASU +12 @ Cal. ASU is bad. Total is 50.5, so expected final is 31-19.
#8 USC -21.5 @ CU. CU is bad (worse than Arizona? Vegas thinks so). Total is 73.5, so Vegas isn't expecting anyone to play defense. Expected score is 48-26.
#16 WSU. Bye
UCLA. Bye
Then the rest of the top 12:
#1 UGA -14.5 @ Auburn. Auburn might be okay, only 2-TD dogs. Total is 47, so expected score is 31-16.
#2 Michigan -18 @ Nebraska. Nebraska lost to CU by more than this, take Michigan. Total is 41, so expected score is 30-11.
#24 Kansas +17 @ #3 Texas. Texas at home will certainly put BYU's ranked loss off the board again. Total is 62, so expected final is 40-23.
#4 OSU. Bye
#5 FSU. Bye
#6 PSU -26.5 @ Northwestern. Northwestern is bad. Total is 46, so expected score is 36-9
#11 ND -5.5 @ #17 Duke. Duke actually isn't terrible, undefeated and giving up only 9 ppg against Clemson, Lafayette, NW, and UCONN. ND could lose this one on the road after a tough, emotional loss to OSU. Total is 50.5, so expected final is 28-23
#12 Bama -14.5 @ MS ST. Bama may have slipped a notch, but they're still a very good team, which is why they're favored by 2 TD on the road. Total is 48.5, so expected final is 32-17
Wow, that's a lot of top 12 teams on the road. In fact, the top 15 has only 2 teams playing at home, both in the Big 12: #3 Texas against #24 Kansas and #14 Oklahoma against ISU. Here's the rest of the Big 12 (in rank/standings order):
ISU +20 @ #14 Oklahoma. ISU has reverted to their norm, which is terrible. Total is 49, so expected final is 35-15
KSU. Bye
WVU +11 @ TCU. WVU and TCU are both 1-0 in the Big 12, but WVU is not good, with their only win over a bad TTech team. Total is 51, so expected final is 31-20
Cincy +2.5 @ BYU. Both teams are 0-1 in the Big 12, with BYU getting essentially the home field advantage here. Cincy has played the tougher schedule, beating Pitt on the road, but losing to Miami (OH) and Oklahoma. Total is 50, so expected score is 27-24.
Houston +9 @ TTech. Houston is bad, getting blown out by TCU and losing to Rice for a 2-2 start, although they destroyed the Sam Houston team that BYU only beat by 14. Total is 54, so expected score is 31-22.
Baylor +13 @ UCF. Baylor... might be bad. Texas beat them by 32, TX ST beat them by 11, and we beat them by 7. Their only win is Long Island, and this is their first road game. UCF is 3-1 on a cupcake schedule, but at least they're mostly winning. Total is 56, so expected score is 35-22.
OKST. Bye
Utah not the lowest total this week, with MSU/Iowa at 36.5. Not even the lowest in the top 12, with MI/Nebraska at 41.
#10 Utah +3 @ #19 OSU. Utah is a dog for the first time this year, but this basically is all OSU's home field. Total is 44.5, so 23-20 is the expected score.
#9 Oregon -27 @ Stanford. Stanford is bad. Total is 61, so expected score is 44-17
#7 UW -17.5 @ Arizona. Arizona is not as bad as Stanford, but still not good. Total is 69.5, so expected final is 44-26.
ASU +12 @ Cal. ASU is bad. Total is 50.5, so expected final is 31-19.
#8 USC -21.5 @ CU. CU is bad (worse than Arizona? Vegas thinks so). Total is 73.5, so Vegas isn't expecting anyone to play defense. Expected score is 48-26.
#16 WSU. Bye
UCLA. Bye
Then the rest of the top 12:
#1 UGA -14.5 @ Auburn. Auburn might be okay, only 2-TD dogs. Total is 47, so expected score is 31-16.
#2 Michigan -18 @ Nebraska. Nebraska lost to CU by more than this, take Michigan. Total is 41, so expected score is 30-11.
#24 Kansas +17 @ #3 Texas. Texas at home will certainly put BYU's ranked loss off the board again. Total is 62, so expected final is 40-23.
#4 OSU. Bye
#5 FSU. Bye
#6 PSU -26.5 @ Northwestern. Northwestern is bad. Total is 46, so expected score is 36-9
#11 ND -5.5 @ #17 Duke. Duke actually isn't terrible, undefeated and giving up only 9 ppg against Clemson, Lafayette, NW, and UCONN. ND could lose this one on the road after a tough, emotional loss to OSU. Total is 50.5, so expected final is 28-23
#12 Bama -14.5 @ MS ST. Bama may have slipped a notch, but they're still a very good team, which is why they're favored by 2 TD on the road. Total is 48.5, so expected final is 32-17
Wow, that's a lot of top 12 teams on the road. In fact, the top 15 has only 2 teams playing at home, both in the Big 12: #3 Texas against #24 Kansas and #14 Oklahoma against ISU. Here's the rest of the Big 12 (in rank/standings order):
ISU +20 @ #14 Oklahoma. ISU has reverted to their norm, which is terrible. Total is 49, so expected final is 35-15
KSU. Bye
WVU +11 @ TCU. WVU and TCU are both 1-0 in the Big 12, but WVU is not good, with their only win over a bad TTech team. Total is 51, so expected final is 31-20
Cincy +2.5 @ BYU. Both teams are 0-1 in the Big 12, with BYU getting essentially the home field advantage here. Cincy has played the tougher schedule, beating Pitt on the road, but losing to Miami (OH) and Oklahoma. Total is 50, so expected score is 27-24.
Houston +9 @ TTech. Houston is bad, getting blown out by TCU and losing to Rice for a 2-2 start, although they destroyed the Sam Houston team that BYU only beat by 14. Total is 54, so expected score is 31-22.
Baylor +13 @ UCF. Baylor... might be bad. Texas beat them by 32, TX ST beat them by 11, and we beat them by 7. Their only win is Long Island, and this is their first road game. UCF is 3-1 on a cupcake schedule, but at least they're mostly winning. Total is 56, so expected score is 35-22.
OKST. Bye
Utah not the lowest total this week, with MSU/Iowa at 36.5. Not even the lowest in the top 12, with MI/Nebraska at 41.
