Thought I'd post the lines early this week and then update later so we can see the movement. First, the Pac-12:
#22 UCLA +4.5 @ #11 Utah. The line opened at 6.5 and the money's been mostly on UCLA so far, probably because the injury status for much of Utah's team is still up in the air. the total is 52.5, so expected score is roughly 28-24.
Arizona -10.5 @ Stanford. This actually opened at 9.5 and is already up to 10.5, and you can see as high as 12 some places. Stanford is bad, Arizona is solid. Total is 58.5 right now, so expected score is roughly 29-19.
#5 USC -33.5 @ ASU. This opened at 27.5 yesterday and is already up to 33.5, which is a ton of movement. Bettors expect USC to bury ASU. Total is 61.5, so expected score is roughly 48-14.
#19 CU +21.5 @ #10 Oregon. Vegas still doesn't have a ton of faith in CU, particularly after the CSU game. Bettors agree, as this one opened at 17 and all the money's been on Oregon. A week ago the early line was 14, so the CSU game has shifted expectations quite a bit. Total is 70.5, so expected score is roughly 46-24.
Cal +21.5 @ #8 UW. Yes, the Cal/UW line is the same as the CU/Oregon line. I'll let you take from that what you will. The total for Cal/UW is a little lower, at 62.5, so the expected score is roughly 42-20.
#14 ORST -2.5 @ #21 WSU. The Beavers are a slight road favorite this week, but they opened at 6.5, so the money's on the Cougars. Total is 56.5, so the expected score is roughly 30-27.
Now the rest of the top 15:
UAB +41.5 @ #1 UGA. Total is 53.5, so expected score is 48-6.
Rutgers @ #2 Michigan. No line on this one, I'm not sure why. Maybe Vegas forgot Rutgers was an FBS program?
#3 Texas -14.5 @ Baylor. Total is 51.5, so expected score is 33-19.
#4 FSU -2.5 @ Clemson. FSU's close game against BC is probably pushing this line down a little bit, although Clemson has looked good the past two weeks after losing their week 1 matchup to Duke, 28-7. Total is 55.5, so expected score is 29-27.
#6 OSU -3.5 @ #9 Notre Dame. This is Utah's (and Oregon's) biggest chance to move up, as ND losing puts both of us up a spot. If OSU loses big, that could also move UW up a spot. Total is 54.5, so expected score is 29-26
#21 Iowa +14.5 @ #7 PSU. Total is 41.5, so expect a Big 10 slugfest ending roughly 28-14.
Arkansas +17.5 @ #12 LSU. Total is 55.5, so expected score is 37-19.
#15 Ole Miss +7 @ #13 Alabama. Bama is struggling right now, so there's a distinct shot at an upset for Ole Miss here. Total is 54.5, so expected score is 31-24.
Future Big 12 conference mates:
UCF +6.5 @ KSU. This has bounced around a little bit, from as low as 5.5 and up to 7 at some points. Total is 55.5, so expected final score is roughly 31-25.
TTech -5.5 @ WVU. Tech is bad, so WVU must be really bad. Total is 54.5, so expected final is 30-24
#16 Oklahoma -14 @ Cincy. Total is 59.5, so expected total is 37-23
Sam Houston +12.5 @ Houston. This game should be played every year. Total is 38.5, so a defensive showdown, with an expected final of 25-13.
SMU +6.5 @ TCU. Iron Skillet at issue, total is 63.5, so expected final is 35-29.
OK ST +3.5 @ ISU. Total is only 36.5, the lowest total of the day, so the final expected score is 20-17.
BYU +9.5 @ Kansas. Yes, that's right, BYU is a 10 point dog to KANSAS. Total is 55.5, so expected final is 33-23.
If you're curious, the 1-2 USU Aggies are 5.5 home dogs to James Madison. The Aggies might not be very good, but getting almost a TD at home for a team travelling from Virginia is a bet worth checking out.
#22 UCLA +4.5 @ #11 Utah. The line opened at 6.5 and the money's been mostly on UCLA so far, probably because the injury status for much of Utah's team is still up in the air. the total is 52.5, so expected score is roughly 28-24.
Arizona -10.5 @ Stanford. This actually opened at 9.5 and is already up to 10.5, and you can see as high as 12 some places. Stanford is bad, Arizona is solid. Total is 58.5 right now, so expected score is roughly 29-19.
#5 USC -33.5 @ ASU. This opened at 27.5 yesterday and is already up to 33.5, which is a ton of movement. Bettors expect USC to bury ASU. Total is 61.5, so expected score is roughly 48-14.
#19 CU +21.5 @ #10 Oregon. Vegas still doesn't have a ton of faith in CU, particularly after the CSU game. Bettors agree, as this one opened at 17 and all the money's been on Oregon. A week ago the early line was 14, so the CSU game has shifted expectations quite a bit. Total is 70.5, so expected score is roughly 46-24.
Cal +21.5 @ #8 UW. Yes, the Cal/UW line is the same as the CU/Oregon line. I'll let you take from that what you will. The total for Cal/UW is a little lower, at 62.5, so the expected score is roughly 42-20.
#14 ORST -2.5 @ #21 WSU. The Beavers are a slight road favorite this week, but they opened at 6.5, so the money's on the Cougars. Total is 56.5, so the expected score is roughly 30-27.
Now the rest of the top 15:
UAB +41.5 @ #1 UGA. Total is 53.5, so expected score is 48-6.
Rutgers @ #2 Michigan. No line on this one, I'm not sure why. Maybe Vegas forgot Rutgers was an FBS program?
#3 Texas -14.5 @ Baylor. Total is 51.5, so expected score is 33-19.
#4 FSU -2.5 @ Clemson. FSU's close game against BC is probably pushing this line down a little bit, although Clemson has looked good the past two weeks after losing their week 1 matchup to Duke, 28-7. Total is 55.5, so expected score is 29-27.
#6 OSU -3.5 @ #9 Notre Dame. This is Utah's (and Oregon's) biggest chance to move up, as ND losing puts both of us up a spot. If OSU loses big, that could also move UW up a spot. Total is 54.5, so expected score is 29-26
#21 Iowa +14.5 @ #7 PSU. Total is 41.5, so expect a Big 10 slugfest ending roughly 28-14.
Arkansas +17.5 @ #12 LSU. Total is 55.5, so expected score is 37-19.
#15 Ole Miss +7 @ #13 Alabama. Bama is struggling right now, so there's a distinct shot at an upset for Ole Miss here. Total is 54.5, so expected score is 31-24.
Future Big 12 conference mates:
UCF +6.5 @ KSU. This has bounced around a little bit, from as low as 5.5 and up to 7 at some points. Total is 55.5, so expected final score is roughly 31-25.
TTech -5.5 @ WVU. Tech is bad, so WVU must be really bad. Total is 54.5, so expected final is 30-24
#16 Oklahoma -14 @ Cincy. Total is 59.5, so expected total is 37-23
Sam Houston +12.5 @ Houston. This game should be played every year. Total is 38.5, so a defensive showdown, with an expected final of 25-13.
SMU +6.5 @ TCU. Iron Skillet at issue, total is 63.5, so expected final is 35-29.
OK ST +3.5 @ ISU. Total is only 36.5, the lowest total of the day, so the final expected score is 20-17.
BYU +9.5 @ Kansas. Yes, that's right, BYU is a 10 point dog to KANSAS. Total is 55.5, so expected final is 33-23.
If you're curious, the 1-2 USU Aggies are 5.5 home dogs to James Madison. The Aggies might not be very good, but getting almost a TD at home for a team travelling from Virginia is a bet worth checking out.
