Lot of negativity on the internet today, but little has changed for the season outlook for the Utes. Losing coinflip games always stings the projections a little bit, but the margins are about right for how the Utes have been expected to perform all season.
Where things don't look optimistic for Utah is in-conference; the North part of the schedule for Utah is *much* tougher than for USC (who has OSU and Cal left) and this was one of two relatively good chances for Utah to claw out a win.
The path to the South title for the Utes has to run through the South first and foremost- 5-0 there (the Utes have a 19% chance of going 5-0 in the South, right now) would leave plenty of room for the other contenders to slip up, as there is very little separation between conference mates. Then the Utes have to find a way to knock off either Oregon or Stanford. The model has them winning at least one of those games 77% of the time. Win both (22% of the time) and the title is well within reach.
Where things don't look optimistic for Utah is in-conference; the North part of the schedule for Utah is *much* tougher than for USC (who has OSU and Cal left) and this was one of two relatively good chances for Utah to claw out a win.
The path to the South title for the Utes has to run through the South first and foremost- 5-0 there (the Utes have a 19% chance of going 5-0 in the South, right now) would leave plenty of room for the other contenders to slip up, as there is very little separation between conference mates. Then the Utes have to find a way to knock off either Oregon or Stanford. The model has them winning at least one of those games 77% of the time. Win both (22% of the time) and the title is well within reach.
