Here's what the Pac-12 looks like right now, and what games everyone has left (and FPI's prediction for each game).
North:
1- Oregon. 9-1 (6-1). @Utah (38.2%), OSU (78.2%)
T2- WSU. 5-5 (4-3). Arizona (85.2%), @UW (33.8%)
T2- OSU. 6-4 (4-3). ASU (49.1%), @Oregon (21.8%)
4- UW. 4-6 (3-4). @CU (68.1), WSU (66.2%)
5- Cal. 3-6 (2-4). @Stanford (50.8%), @UCLA (22.9%), USC (42.7%)
6- Stanford. 3-7 (2-6). Cal (49.2%), Notre Dame (17.7%)
South:
1- Utah. 7-3 (6-1). Oregon (61.8%), Colorado (93.1%)
2- ASU. 7-3 (5-2). @OSU (50.9%), Arizona (91.9%)
3- UCLA. 6-4 (4-3). @USC (44.4%), Cal (77.1%)
4- USC. 4-5 (3-4). UCLA (55.6%), BYU (53.0%), @Cal (57.3%)
5- CU. 3-7 (2-5). UW (31.9%), Utah (6.9%)
6- Arizona. 1-9 (1-6). @WSU (14.8%), ASU (8.1%)
Oregon, Utah, ASU, OSU, and UCLA are all bowl eligible right now. WSU needs one win, USC and UW need two. Cal needs three. Stanford, CU, and Arizona are eliminated (the Pac-12 does not allow 5-7 teams to attend bowl games, even if they would be eligible under the APR rules).
Utah can win the Pac-12 South by winning one more game. ASU can win if they win out and Utah loses out. UCLA can no longer win because a 3-way tie ends with Utah going, and that's the best they can do. Oregon can win the north by winning one more game. WSU can win the north if they win both games and Oregon loses both games. OSU can win if Oregon and WSU both lose their remaining games.
North:
1- Oregon. 9-1 (6-1). @Utah (38.2%), OSU (78.2%)
T2- WSU. 5-5 (4-3). Arizona (85.2%), @UW (33.8%)
T2- OSU. 6-4 (4-3). ASU (49.1%), @Oregon (21.8%)
4- UW. 4-6 (3-4). @CU (68.1), WSU (66.2%)
5- Cal. 3-6 (2-4). @Stanford (50.8%), @UCLA (22.9%), USC (42.7%)
6- Stanford. 3-7 (2-6). Cal (49.2%), Notre Dame (17.7%)
South:
1- Utah. 7-3 (6-1). Oregon (61.8%), Colorado (93.1%)
2- ASU. 7-3 (5-2). @OSU (50.9%), Arizona (91.9%)
3- UCLA. 6-4 (4-3). @USC (44.4%), Cal (77.1%)
4- USC. 4-5 (3-4). UCLA (55.6%), BYU (53.0%), @Cal (57.3%)
5- CU. 3-7 (2-5). UW (31.9%), Utah (6.9%)
6- Arizona. 1-9 (1-6). @WSU (14.8%), ASU (8.1%)
Oregon, Utah, ASU, OSU, and UCLA are all bowl eligible right now. WSU needs one win, USC and UW need two. Cal needs three. Stanford, CU, and Arizona are eliminated (the Pac-12 does not allow 5-7 teams to attend bowl games, even if they would be eligible under the APR rules).
Utah can win the Pac-12 South by winning one more game. ASU can win if they win out and Utah loses out. UCLA can no longer win because a 3-way tie ends with Utah going, and that's the best they can do. Oregon can win the north by winning one more game. WSU can win the north if they win both games and Oregon loses both games. OSU can win if Oregon and WSU both lose their remaining games.
