Early Vegas lines this week. First, Utah-Arizona (AP rankings):
#16 Utah PICK @ #19 Arizona. You can get Utah by 1.5 or Arizona by 1, along with actual picks. Total is 44.5, so expected final is 23-22 one way or the other. As an aside, I'll be at this game, so hit me up if you want to say hello before or after.
Rest of the Pac-12:
#5 UW PICK @ #10 ORST. That's correct, you can bet UW as a -1 underdog to OSU this week (you can also bet OSU as a -1 underdog to UW). ORST is not quite as good on defense as Utah, but their offense is better. This is an upset they absolutely can get, which would make the Civil War a fight for the other CCG spot. Total is 64, so expected final is 33-32.
#6 UO -22.5 @ ASU. Total is 54, so expected final is 38-16. Oregon probably can set the score here.
CU +5.5 @ WSU. Total is 64, so expected final is 35-30. Honestly, take the over. Both scoring offenses are averaging ~30ppg, but CU is the #117 scoring defense and WSU is the #100 scoring defense. They also both give up yards in bunches, with CU #129 in total D and WSU #101. Seriously, the over is the only bet on this game.
UCLA +6.5 @ USC. Nice to see both of the conference destroyers are unranked and out of CCG contention (actually, USC still probably has some possible insane path, like Utah, but realistically it's over for everyone outside of UW/UO/OSU). Total is 66, so expected final is 36-30. Honestly, I'd be tempted by UCLA here, or the under, because USC is reeling and UCLA's defense is good.
Cal -6 @ Stanford. Total is 58, so expected final is 32-26. Cal is the only bet here, but I don't know for sure that they're 7 points better than Stanford.
Rest of the top 15:
#1 UGA -10 @ Tennessee. Total is 59, so expected final is 35-25.
#2 Michigan -19 @ Maryland. Total is 50, so expected final is 35-15.
Minnesota +27.5 @ #3 OSU. Total is 49, so expected final is 38-11.
N. Bama @ #4 FSU. No lines for FCS Games, even if played on November 18th, FSU you giant cowards.
#7 Texas -7.5 @ ISU. Total is 48, so expected final is 28-20. ISU is getting too much credit for beating a bad BYU team, I'd take Texas here.
Chattanooga @ #8 Bama . No lines for FCS games, even if played on November 18th, Bama you giant cowards.
#9 Louisville -2 @ Miami. Unlike the Utah/Arizona and UW/ORST games, this is actually Louisville favored slightly everywhere. Still, that's a tiny line, if Louisville deserves to be ranked, they'll beat Miami by more than this.
Florida +11 @ #11 Mizzou. Total is 59, so expected final is 35-24.
Rutgers +19 @ #12 Penn St. Total is 43, so expected score is 31-12. Rutgers is improved, I'd consider taking them here, but PSU's defense is very good. The under might be the bet here.
UL Monroe +36.5 @ #13 Ole Miss. Total is 62, so expected final is 49-13.
#14 OU @ BYU. 22 at home. Yikes.
GA ST +31 @ #15 LSU. Total is 71, so expected final is 51-20. I'd probably take GA ST, because that's such a huge line and you'd expect LSU to ease up and put in the backups at some point.