Let's take a look at Vegas this week. First, Utah.
Colorado +22.5 @ Utah. Alright, this is a surprise. I think this is the most Utah has been favored all year. Sure, it's at home and Colorado is on a losing streak, including getting blown out by WSU last week, but still I'm surprised by this line. If you're going to bet Utah, maybe wait a few days, because I suspect this will close a little bit. Total is 53, so expected final is 37-15. CU is already eliminated from bowl eligibility, and they're 92nd in APR, so an exception isn't likely.
Rest of the Pac-12:
WSU +16.5 @ #5 UW. Washington is making the CCG, and if they win this week they're almost guaranteed a NY6 bowl, if not the playoff. Total is 68, so expected final is 42-26. I think UW wins, but I'm not sure if they cover. WSU needs the win for bowl eligibility or hope for a 5-7 exception (which isn't likely as they're 88th)
#15 OSU +14 @ #6 UO. Oregon needs to win to make the CCG. If they lose this week and Arizona beats ASU, Arizona will face Washington instead of them. Total is 62, so expected final is 38-24. Oregon is very good, but OSU is playing well too. Again, I think Oregon wins but I don't know if they cover.
#16 Arizona -11.5 @ ASU. This line is insane to me. Arizona wins and covers. ASU still isn't playing defense, UCLA's offense is just struggling. Total is 51, so expected final is 31-20. Don't bet rivalry games, but if you have to bet this one, bet Arizona to cover.
#17 Notre Dame -25 @ Stanford. Stanford is bad, ND makes weird mistakes. Total is 52, so expected final is 38-13.
Cal +9.5 @ UCLA. Both teams played their real rivals last week, and both won. UCLA played great against USC, Cal struggled with Stanford a little bit. Cal is 5-6, so a win makes them bowl eligible, although they're 36th in APR, so they might get a 5-7 exception.
As Utah is now unranked but getting votes, instead of looking at the top 15, let's take a look at 16-25:
UTSA +3 @ #18 Tulane. Total is 52, so expected final is 27-24.
ISU +10 @ #19 KSU. Total is 48, so expected final is 29-19.
#20 Iowa +1 @ Nebraska. Total is 26. Yes, that's right, the TOTAL IS TWENTY-SIX. Expected final then is 14-13.
BYU +17.5 @ #21 OKST. Total is 57, so expected final is 37-20. BYU is 5-6, needs this win to go bowling as they are 105th in APR.
#22 Liberty -17 @ UTEP. Total is 59, so expected final is 38-21.
#23 Toledo -10 @ CMU. Total is 56, so expected final is 28-18.
#24 JMU -9.5 @ CCU. Total is 51, so expected final is 30-21. JMU just learned they aren't officially bowl eligible, despite having 10 wins, although they get the first selection if there aren't enough 6-6 teams. Expect them to be pissed.
Vandy +26 @ #25 Tennessee. Tennessee is an inconsistent team, but Vandy is Vandy. Total is 57, so expected final is 41-16.